Fantasy Football Insights

Trevor Lawrence isn't a factor in 1QB leagues as our #17 QB. In 2QB leagues, he's a low-end starter. Lawrence is expected to earn 19% of his projected 283 fantasy points by rushing. While it isn't nothing, it isn't a major focus of his gameplan. With a projection of 12.7 interceptions compared to 24.2 passing touchdowns, he isn't not likely to melt down often.

As our consensus #16 QB, Kirk Cousins is a fine quarterback if you want to save your early draft picks for other positions. Cousins is expected to earn 8% of his projected 273 fantasy points by rushing. Running the ball just isn't a significant part of his gameplan. With a projected toughdown-to-interception ratio of 3.0, Cousins isn't not likely to melt down often.

Drafting Derrick Henry is an easy choice at his ADP of 31 as the consensus #21 overall player. Projected to carry the ball 16.6 times and catch 1.7 passes per game, Henry has a strong workload that's hard for running backs to come by. He's the top dog among running backs on the Ravens, with Keaton Mitchell and Justice Hill behind him. The Ravens have the 8th-best schedule for running backs.

Samaje Perine is a fair value at his ADP of 216 as the consensus #275 overall player. At a projected workload of 4.2 carries and 2.1 receptions per game, Perine has limited potential. He has some competition on the Broncos' depth chart, where he trails both Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin. The Broncos have the 2nd-best running back schedule.

Darren Waller is projected for a solid 669 yards and 2.8 TDs on 60.5 receptions. As our #31 TE, you can do better than drafting Waller. Waller is a little overvalued at his ADP of 193, with an ECR of 248. New York has the 5th-worst schedule for tight ends.

Projected to carry the ball 1.0 times and catch 0.2 passes per game, Isaiah Davis is safe to leave on the waiver wire. He has some competition on New York's depth chart in Breece Hall and Braelon Allen.

Tank Dell is the third best WR on the Texans, trailing Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs. At #26 in our WR rankings, you'll be able to depend on him each week. He is projected for 989 yards and 8.9 TDs on 71.0 receptions, for 22.1% of the total for WRs on the Texans. The Texans have the 7th-worst wide receiver schedule. As the consensus #48 overall player, Dell is a reasonable pick at his ADP of 63.

Atwell is the WR4 on the Rams. At #113 in our WR rankings, he's probably best left for the waiver wire. He's projected to catch 20.0 receptions for 269 yards and 1.4 TDs, which is 7.8% of the workload for Rams WRs. Los Angeles has the 16th-best wide receiver schedule.

Tolbert is the third best WR on the Cowboys, trailing CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks. At #123 in our WR rankings, he's only relevant in deep leagues. Tolbert is projected for 573 yards and 3.5 TDs on 43.2 receptions, which is 17.0% of the total for WRs on the Cowboys. Dallas has the 3rd-best wide receiver schedule.

Bo Melton is the WR5 on the Packers. As the consensus #124 WR, he's probably best left for the waiver wire. He's projected to catch 9.8 receptions for 114 yards and 0.8 TDs, which is 4.6% of the workload for Packers WRs. Green Bay has the best wide receiver schedule. Melton is correctly valued at his ADP of 296 as the consensus #365 overall player.

Ranked as QB1, Josh Allen can be a rare difference-maker at the position. Allen is expected to earn 32% of his projected 348 fantasy points by rushing. That level of involvement in the Bills' running game adds significant fantasy value. Projected for a 1.9 touchdown-to-interception ratio, he isn't not likely to melt down often.

Ranked as QB2, Jalen Hurts can be a rare difference-maker at the position. Hurts is expected to earn 36% of his projected 354 fantasy points by rushing. That level of involvement in the Eagles' running game adds significant fantasy value. With a projection of 14.1 interceptions compared to 25.3 passing touchdowns, Hurts is not the safest QB to run out each week.

At QB3, Patrick Mahomes II is a strong starger, but won't come particularly cheap with an ADP in the 3rd round. Mahomes is projected to earn 43.8 of his 328 fantasy points by rushing. While not insignificant, it's not a huge part of his gameplan. Projected for a 2.8 touchdown-to-interception ratio, he doesn't carry much interception risk.

Lamar Jackson is a high-end option as our 4th-ranked QB, but comes at a significant cost at his ADP of 38. Jackson is expected to earn 32% of his projected 325 fantasy points by rushing. That's a substantial portion of his fantasy value, and could give him a more stable floor than similarly-ranked QBs. With a projected toughdown-to-interception ratio of 2.2, he doesn't carry much interception risk.

As our consensus #5 QB, C.J. Stroud is a solid starter, but comes at a significant cost at his ADP of 45. Stroud is expected to earn 11% of his projected 296 fantasy points by rushing. While it isn't nothing, it's not a core part of his fantasy value. With a projection of 9.9 interceptions compared to 28.7 passing touchdowns, Stroud doesn't carry much interception risk.

Anthony Richardson is a high-end option as our 6th-ranked QB, but won't come particularly cheap with an ADP in the 5th round. Richardson is expected to earn 33% of his projected 272 fantasy points by rushing. That level of involvement in the Colts' running game adds significant fantasy value. Projected for a 1.8 touchdown-to-interception ratio, Richardson carries more interception risk than is entirely comforatable.

As our consensus #7 QB, Joe Burrow is a solid starter, but comes at a significant cost at his ADP of 56. Burrow is expected to earn 10% of his projected 301 fantasy points by rushing. While running is in his wheelhouse, it's not a huge part of his gameplan. Projected for a 2.5 touchdown-to-interception ratio, he isn't not likely to melt down often.

At QB8, Dak Prescott is a strong starger, but won't come particularly cheap with an ADP in the 6th round. Prescott is expected to earn 12% of his projected 305 fantasy points by rushing. While not insignificant, it isn't a major focus of his gameplan. With a projected toughdown-to-interception ratio of 2.3, he doesn't carry much interception risk.

As the QB9, Kyler Murray is a reasonable choice for a late-round quarterback strategy. Murray is projected to earn 75.6 of his 277 fantasy points by rushing. That's a substantial portion of his fantasy value, and could give him a more stable floor than similarly-ranked QBs. Projected for 12.8 interceptions compared to 20.7 passing TDs, Murray is not the safest QB to run out each week.

Ranked as the #10 QB, Jordan Love is a reasonable choice for a late-round quarterback strategy. Love is expected to earn 12% of his projected 296 fantasy points by rushing. While not insignificant, it's not a core part of his fantasy value. Projected for 11.8 interceptions compared to 31.1 passing TDs, he doesn't carry much interception risk.